Afrasianet - Rashid Al Shashani - The disclosure of a secret base established by Israel by the United States - as rumored - in the service of the war effort in the operation against Iran, is inseparable from the arrangements inside Iraq, with which his prime minister poses major challenges by distributing the weights of influence, especially Iranian influence. The side of the American and Israeli administrations together.
If we want to distribute our options to understand the motivation behind this leak, we will limit it to two scenarios, the first is based on the idea that Netanyahu's opponents, their supporters, and those who support them in the United States are behind this leak, but such an idea seems to be inadequate with the weak impact of such tactics in achieving certain results, especially with the American push for the operation, and we mean the joint operation between the United States and Israel against Iran, if we want to expand this understanding.
A little, we say that there is a new American front that has taken Israel as the site of an American attack, which we will talk about later, perhaps it was the reason for the revelation of this base, we leave this to a later detail.
The second scenario: that the stalemate of the Iranian file, driven by Trump's sense of the failure of all attempts, whether military or otherwise, including dragging Iran to a place of defeat, or achieving an imaginary victory, which can be marketed internally and externally, led Trump to accept him to pay a price, and to bear the bitterness of revealing the secret at such times, Trump deals with it a blow that undermines Iran's confidence in itself by striking its arms, especially on Iraqi soil, after it became clear that Iran was not aware of this rule, otherwise it would have announced, even if indirectly, that if it had discovered a breach from within its arms, we would have reached such a conclusion when we detailed the issue of the downing of a plane near Kharg Island .
With such a leak, Iran finds that one of its shields - perhaps the most important so far Iraq - or its back, has been infiltrated by the penetration, especially since the base - according to what was leaked - was in an area that should be close to the areas where the pro-Iranian Popular Mobilization Units are stationed, which is part of the official military institution and commands it, amid serious questions about the absence of this institution, and what its intelligence contains, about the transfers of the equipment necessary to build such a base.
This comes at the same time as the Israeli army's recent announcement of operations in the north of the Litani River in Lebanon, which goes without saying that Israel's operations in Lebanon are not absent from coordination with the United States .
Such a latter scenario, if it is acknowledged that Trump was behind the operation and had to pay this price, which necessarily represents that Trump decided to sacrifice part of Netanyahu's weight, confirms what we said earlier: that Netanyahu only means to Trump that he is a tool for distributing weights; that he moves it when a weight is needed in a certain area or stage, and as soon as the task is over, he returns it to the reserve store .
On the other hand, the scene is becoming more complicated in the task of the Iraqi prime minister-designate, whom Trump - if we end up imagining the second scenario - to the value of the price sacrificed when he presented this position to a challenge that may exceed all the challenges that accompanied his assignment.
On the other hand, this necessarily means that Iran will increase its level of caution towards the territory of Iraq, which means restructuring and positioning itself on the ground, not to mention the indirect accusation that this carries, and perhaps it is direct to the previous government, which neglected or deliberately ignored such a matter, especially in the circumstances surrounding the discovery of al-Qaeda and the killing of the informant .
Such a step: In the first scenario, it involves dispersing Trump's control over the scene, especially in Iraq, so that the arenas of confrontation that Trump has to confront have expanded in his ignorance. The second scenario means that Trump has ensured that the new Iraqi prime minister is unable to form a supportive coalition, with which he can play on ropes, color the colors of positions, and evade Trump's wishes in a way that wastes the time of decisive moments .
We will not announce the result of the trade-off between the two previous options, although we have reached them , but we are certain, as we have done before, that there is a very big American-Israeli military failure; it pushes Trump to think a thousand times before starting a decisive and quick operation, but despite all this, Iran has not benefited from such a failure, given that its leadership lacks a lot of militaristic character .
