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We will strike... We will not strike: Trump and the calculations of the war on Iran 

We will strike... We will not strike: Trump and the calculations of the war on Iran 

Afrasianet - Dr. Sabri Saidam - It is ironic that the countries of the world today stand tense and wait for the decisions of the United States and Israel regarding the next strike on Iran, in a way in which some say that it has lost the attention of the street, not out of disregard for the event and its consequences, but because it is repeated over and over again throughout the day.

Perhaps repetition in the context of danger is considered a systematic tactic to get people used to it, and to lose the value that would have accompanied it if it had happened suddenly.

This is something that was exposed by the recent US midterm elections, the disastrous results of which accused US President Donald Trump of manipulating the world's stock exchanges and stocks by waging wars, and then manipulating statements, sometimes warning of resumption and at other times avoiding them, according to his opponents, but came for the purpose of maximizing his wealth and the wealth of those around him.

Trump, who is thickened with the wounds of this election, deviated from his usual speech on the 60 Minutes program recently to attack his ally Israel, demanding that it pay the bill for the war on Iran that dragged him into it, that Israel would not have existed without his support and protection, and that many Americans no longer like Israel.

This is certainly a big deal, but it would not have happened without the results of the US midterm elections, analysts say.

The interview was certainly not on Trump's scale, especially since he usually does not have patience with journalists' questions that he does not like, he does not respect their owners, and he is not willing to hide that lack of respect, so he usually resorts to reprimanding and insulting journalists and their channels and networks.

What is clear is that the interview was a "necessity" interview, in which his aides, apparently, insisted on his patience, self-control, and speaking frankly, in order to clarify some points without feeling provoked and without attacking his interlocutor.

The matter did not stop there, but the media covered the news that Trump wanted to quickly form the Israeli government and get rid of Netanyahu, which in itself seemed very strange, especially given Trump's traditional positions in support of Netanyahu, and his contact with him on the eve of the Israeli elections and calling on voters to vote for him.

Of course, we cannot forget that historic moment in the Israeli Knesset, when during his recent visit to the occupying power, Trump urged, in front of local and international cameras, to issue his pardon for Netanyahu, saying: "He issued the pardon, he issued it now, he issued it."

The "60 Minutes" interview, in its points, makes Trump's desire to remove Netanyahu a possibility, especially with Trump's feeling that his ship has sunk, his presence has eroded, and the American street's aversion to him and his policies, especially with the continuation of the The collapse of Republican support for him, the discomfort of the street over Trump's immigration measures, the rise in fuel prices and the absolute rejection of the wars in Iran and Ukraine.

Trump, trembling at the end of his term after two years, has become more afraid of the Democrats' ability to oust him after the ouster of his Secretary of War, Pete Higgseth, which set the wheel in his direction. Despite Trump's talk of using his powers against his opponents, according to many, he will not withstand a strong pressure of this caliber, especially since the members of the Senate and Congress represent the entire American people.

However, Trump has become a professional in playing with the oil, gas and precious metals markets, according to analysts, which makes him continue to play on the war and on the money markets, by resorting to skirmishes here and there and looking for an excuse to resume the war, despite the insistence of some on the need to remedy the matter through dialogue and positions.

War and money have always been historically inextricably linked, but the prolongation of neglect about them has become a matter of expose, especially with the growing role of social media networks and the ability of humans to transcend digital barriers, access data, refute narratives and allegations, and reveal the secrets and secrets of things. Therefore, it is difficult for Trump to avoid exposing and exposing things.

Perhaps the course of events in the case of the US Secretary of War and the insistence on withdrawing confidence from him may be what may lay the groundwork for Trump's attempt to justify his steps and try to retract some of them, such as his speech during the aforementioned interview about his desire to settle the status of immigrants and create a path for their naturalization, in a move that some commentators considered an attempt to avoid efforts to isolate him.

Attempts will establish two options, perhaps no third, either Trump gets away with it in an internal deal between the Republicans and the Democrats, or he is actually impeached in a historical precedent that has happened only three times, the third of which was during his previous tenure but he survived it.

Whatever happens, what has happened in recent weeks, and especially after the results of the US midterm elections and the Israeli elections, has inevitably made the political atmosphere in the Middle East heated up. Will it inflame or will it go out? We will wait and see!

Dr. Sabri Saidam - Palestinian writer

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