Afrasianet - Dr. Hani Al-Akkad - The war in Gaza is not over yet and no one in the Gaza Strip can say that it is over, with doubts and apprehensions on more than one level in Gaza that the war may end soon and therefore may return again with the same brutality that ended then or at a different pace even in light of the start of the second phase of the agreement, which may be announced soon, and people fear that the war will not end and that different forms of death and destruction will continue, and there may be rounds. An escalation in which Israel targets individuals, buildings, housing, institutions and all forms of civilian life, which have left little of the survival capabilities that enable any people to live without suffering or complexity, as the Palestinians are now facing in Gaza, and therefore the Palestinian is now living without the means of life, living in tents made of cloth or plastic at best. Many residents of these buildings died during the current winter period and due to the depressions and high winds, and I think that in the second phase, Israel may not commit to a complete and final ceasefire because Israel wants to keep the Gaza front hot and will not cool it even if Hamas and the factions are disarmed, unless the Trump administration presses in this direction and the second phase may remain fragile and the war will remain but at a lower pace in which assassinations are frequent to put pressure on The parties to begin the procedures for disarming Hamas and the factions in Gaza..
Israel is not satisfied with what it did in Gaza and the genocide it committed and the killing of tens of thousands of Palestinian civilians, it destroyed more than 80% of the lives of Palestinian citizens, and it seems that Israel is not yet convinced that it has achieved its goals from the war, and Israel considers that it is still halfway to achieve its strategic goals that it has set for this war, while the interim goals may have achieved more than two-thirds of them, and only a few of these goals remain, and Israel considers that the removal of Hamas The government has an unconvincing goal, and what convinces it is to dismantle the military apparatus and destroy the military capabilities of the Palestinian resistance, and this is what it seeks in the next stage, even in light of Trump's announcement of the formation of the Peace Council and the naming of the head of the executive body that will supervise the government of technocrats that will run Gaza and keep Israel on two pretexts: the first is the handing over of the last body of the Israeli prisoner in Gaza, and the second is that Hamas's weapons remain in the hands of Hamas.
The issue of disarming the resistance factions in Gaza is considered by Israel to be a fundamental issue that cannot allow the Palestinians to return to life normally before it achieves this, even if the second phase begins, although there are understandings with Hamas, Islamic Jihad, and Arab and Islamic parties to arrange the placement of weapons, especially the heavy weapons that the factions remain, and there may be understandings to hand over weapons to neutral parties or to the Palestinian Authority at a later stage, and Israel is trying hard through its strategic relations with the administration of President Trump. It links the process of disarming these factions to the withdrawal from the Yellow Line and the rest of the areas that lie behind it, and linking this process to the possibility of progress in the second phase, and says that according to Netanyahu, there are understandings between Israel and the United States on this issue, but these understandings, in my estimation, do not link the start of the second phase to the disarmament of Hamas. Netanyahu says that "we agree with American officials in the US administration on many things, despite the existence of different views on some issues, and Trump has affirmed his commitment to disarming Hamas and disarming Gaza," and says that Trump has shown flexibility on the issue of disarming Hamas and told me that the disarmament of Hamas is a condition for the implementation of the 20-point plan. The United States has a vision that it has spoken about the importance of gradually disarming Hamas, and has developed a program for this in accordance with agreements and understandings with Egypt, Turkey and Qatar.
The truth is that Israel may not abide by everything issued by President Trump's administration and may not abide by the terms of the second phase of the agreement, which will begin before the disarming of Hamas according to the American arrangement, so Israel may take many things on its shoulders, and therefore it always hints that its forces will disarm Hamas by force by returning to a new military action in Gaza, and this is a possible possibility because Israel has not yet committed to the ceasefire or With all the terms of the agreement, it did not commit to staying behind the yellow line, and it made a lot of progress, and every day it changed in reality along this line, which provided it with an opportunity to complete the operations of blowing up the population squares and without any objection from the so-called American Security and Military Coordination Center in Kiryat Gat, which was established to monitor the ceasefire process in Gaza and in which many countries, including Arab and Islamic countries, are involved in the agreement.
Israel has been claiming for some time that Hamas in Gaza is trying to consolidate its ranks, rearrange its forces and tighten its control over the Strip, i.e. the areas under its control, and beyond that, there are accusations by senior officials at the Israeli security level that Hamas controls a large part of the aid that reaches Gaza, considering this a form of Hamas' absolute control over Gaza, in addition to collecting huge sums of money that may enable it to restore its strength in the Strip. One of the pretexts that Israel claims is a justification for disarming Hamas and removing it from power in Gaza. But the truth may not be that this is the main reason for the return of the war, but also for Israel to complete its strategic project in Gaza by changing the geography and demography in the Gaza Strip, as Israel, by not ending the war in Gaza, wants to complete the demolition and blowing up of all the remaining neighborhoods in Gaza City, and it may be among Israel's plans after the establishment of the new cities in the south to implement a transfer of the population from specific areas in the Gaza Strip to the areas in the eastern Gaza Strip, i.e. the areas that it claims to be humanitarian zones.
Keeping the region hot in general is a general Israeli goal and a personal goal of Netanyahu, who does not want many fronts in Lebanon, Syria, Iran, and especially Gaza to calm down, because this serves his political program, especially since Israel is about to hold new Knesset elections in less than a year, and by keeping the war and the fronts hot, he wants Netanyahu to raise his electoral balance to achieve another term as prime minister. Perhaps the delay in the start of the second phase, which includes the Palestinian technocratic government taking over the administration of the Gaza Strip, may be a deliberate delay by Israel, because it may serve Israel at this point, considering that Israel wants to keep Hamas running the remaining part of the Strip, so that Israel will pretend that this is not suitable for it and threatens its security, and thus linking the progress in the second phase to the disarmament of Hamas and the Palestinian factions in Gaza, and Israel will continue to pretend that no one can take off Hamas's weapons except Israel, which It will use its power to achieve the full war goals that Netanyahu and the army minister have long sung.
