Afrasianet - Dr. Abdullah Khalifa Al Shayji - A report published a few days ago in the Wall Street Journal entitled: The warnings that came before a war now Reaching the Six-Month Mark revealed the level and topics of discussion between President Trump and Vice President and Director of the National Intelligence Council, Tulsi Gabbard, who later resigned — and oversaw 18 intelligence agencies at various levels of the U.S. military, and the U.S. military — and provided a clear assessment of the seriousness and cost of waging a war on Iran.
Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei and political and military leaders will cause a catastrophic scenario, represented by the rise of an Iranian leadership and a more radical regime, a threat to navigation, and the targeting of American bases and allies.
The IRGC will respond by threatening navigation in the Gulf, closing the Strait of Hormuz, bombing American military bases and vital facilities in the Gulf allied countries, and will even seek to acquire nuclear weapons.
The military has warned that waging war on Iran will cause a decrease in the stockpile of weapons, especially air defense systems and precision-guided missiles.
The Wall Street Journal report confirms that President Trump, in his misjudgment, ignored flags and serious and realistic warnings to participate and lead the war on Iran in partnership with Netanyahu, in the service of the agenda of the Israeli extreme right.
Especially since the US intelligence assessment clearly indicated that "Iran does not pose an immediate nuclear threat" – an excuse that Trump used to justify waging war. In addition to destroying Iran's nuclear program, which Trump claimed and repeatedly boasted repeatedly said that he had killed and destroyed Iran's nuclear program in Operation Midnight Hammer in June 2025.
Trump thus fell into the trap of inciting Netanyahu and Israeli intelligence chief, David Bernia. This angered Vice President J.D. Vance, who accused them of "promoting an easy and inexpensive victory for Trump."
"The United States cannot continue to treat money, military capabilities, and allies indefinitely as inexhaustible resources"
________________
According to former US officials, led by former US Secretary of State John Kerry, who negotiated with the Iranians and reached the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (the 2015 nuclear deal, which President Trump withdrew from in 2018 and at the instigation of Netanyahu in his first presidency), Netanyahu tried to drag Presidents Clinton, Bush Jr., Obama and Biden into a war on Iran, but all of them refused to fall into Netanyahu's trap – except for President Trump, who participated in Operation Domestic Fury on February 28.
Joe Kent, director of the Counterterrorism Center, a pro-Trump MAGA group, also believes that Trump fell into Netanyahu's trap and resigned last March in protest against waging war on Iran, and because he is not convinced that there is an imminent Iranian threat.
A war that was based on a miscalculation that was supposed to end in six weeks, ending the war in its sixth month – with no solution in sight. After turning into a war of attrition and a costly quagmire.
The reality today is that the Strait of Hormuz is still closed and navigation is disrupted in the Gulf, and Iran has bombed the facilities of the vital Gulf countries and moved their arms – and the area of confrontation has expanded to the Red Sea and the Mediterranean Sea.
The Iranian regime is acting as if it has not been defeated – and after the economic strangulation sanctions in Operation Castaway and Economic Exclusion – launched by US Secretary of the Treasury Scott Bassant last week – by imposing the maximum sanctions on Iran, blockading and suffocating it economically until the regime falls, and punishing the countries that help Iran to break the blockade and economic strangulation by imposing "secondary sanctions" on it!!
This is conclusive proof of the failure of the war on Iran – and resorting to economic pressure, as Trump did in 2018 – after withdrawing from the nuclear agreement with Iran and the major powers and imposing the "maximum sanctions" regime.
Today, by moving on to the tactic of "Operation Economic Outcast" – by applying the system of economic strangulation to change its behavior and force Iran to submit to the conditions of the Trump administration.
This is an admission of the failure of the military solution! Economic pressures and sanctions also fail by forcing countries to change their behavior and acquiesce, especially since sanctions hurt and harm people.
But Trump, who is fighting a trade war and raising tariffs on Canadian goods, does not dare to challenge and threaten China, Iran's main trading partner, which imports 80% of Iran's oil.
The danger in the American escalation is Iran's transition from defense and steadfastness to defiance, confrontation and escalation. And buying time, despite Trump's claim that he does not care about time!! Iran is aware of the difficult economic and political situation at home about two months before the midterm congressional elections – Trump's approval rating has fallen to 33% – and 70% of Americans oppose the war – for causing the cost of living and fuel prices to rise.
Amid expectations that the Democrats will snatch a majority in the House of Representatives. They need to win four seats in the Senate to snatch a majority in the Senate as well!. All of this has been accompanied by the fact that last week's US public debt exceeded the $40 trillion mark and the trade war with Canada.
As Frederick Kemp, president of the Atlantic think tank, warned: "The United States cannot continue to treat money, military capabilities, and allies as inexhaustible resources. Great powers begin to retreat when their tactical superiority fails to produce strategic results.
Its commitments expand faster than its resources grow, and when its leaders misarrange priorities and make decisions." This is the reality of Trump waging war, his miscalculations, his miscalculations, his miscalculations, and his disregard of facts and reality!
________________
