"Left shock".. Does Europe Need Ideological Revisions?

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Afrasianet - The  far-right managed  to hold Europe's breath for a week, when it was close to changing the map of governance with the Arc de Triomphe on the Champs-Elysées, before the uprising of left-wing parties put things back in order with a victory with many political messages and connotations for the rest of the bloc's partners.


Over the past decade, far-right parties have succeeded in making themselves known strongly to EU citizens, taking advantage of the economic crisis and the reeling welfare state in rich countries, particularly the worsening problem of illegal immigration.


Analysts estimate that the left's victory could be a springboard for deep ideological revisions in Europe that go beyond the political gains from removing the far-right from power in Paris.


The French left comes out of the bottle


Ahmed Al-Sheikh, a political analyst at the Center for Western Studies in Paris, believes that the overwhelming tone of optimism behind the victory of the "New Popular Front" in the elections is not supported by facts, nor was the victory the result of an upward path of achievements that can be built upon, as much as it is due in large part to the state of fear and panic that affected large sectors of the French, due to the rise of the influence of the extreme racist right, so their vote was going on this horizon more than a positive vote for the achievements of the left.


However, Sheikh believes, in his interview with Al Jazeera Net, that it is possible to build on these results so that the left regains some of its heritage and power absent for years, driven by some similar shifts towards the left in other European countries such as England and Spain.


This, he said, may help, according to his analysis, to "rebuild left-wing parties and establish a new language that can win the minds and hearts of citizens in these countries, and face the great challenges faced by national governments in European countries."


In turn, the writer and researcher in political sociology Al-Munther Baldiafi, in his interview with Al Jazeera Net, that the emergence of the New Popular Front as a major player in the France, and the sweep of the Labour Party elections in Britain and its assumption of the reins of power after 14 years of Conservative rule, all indicators of the beginning of the return of the European left to the forefront in the face of the right-wing populist tide. But at the same time, he cautions that it is too early to say that the political effectiveness of the traditional left will return.


Despite the relative majority of the NPF, removing the far-right from power is, in the opinion of experts, an absolute priority step, as it has ended serious European fears that the EU's second-largest economy will enter the cycle of political and economic instability, which is likely to cast a shadow over the eurozone.


Olivia Lazard, a member of the Carnegie Center for Europe think tank, says the far-right's unexpected defeat in the second round France avoided the risk  of "a relapse into a kind of sovereign and nationalist discourse, which has become militant and clearly anti-European."


"It remains at the moment one of the main strongholds in Europe against the rise of the extreme right, against the influence of Russia, and this means that Europe will remain safe for a relatively long time when it comes to defense issues," she told Euro France news' Radio Shoman.


File Ukraine


Marine Le Pen's party, which maintains close ties with Russia, pledged on the eve of the European Parliament elections in June June to reduce French aid to Ukraine and in return committed to continue providing military support, but without sending missiles to Kiev capable of hitting Russian territory.


With the victory of the New Popular Front, the European bloc has avoided French President Emmanuel Macron succumbing  to far-right pressure and adopting policies of rapprochement with Moscow for the expected far-right government.


However, the most important step for the pro-Kiev European front, according to experts, is to reach the formation of a strong government in Paris, which is a guarantee of the stability of the rest of the European Union institutions and the position in support of Ukraine, and this requires a functional alliance directed between the different colors of the left and the centrists in the National Assembly.


The political line of Jean-Luc Mélenchon's "Proud France" party is  a point of reservation for Europeans in Brussels, due to its traditional positions opposing French military alignment and arms supplies to Kiev, a position that Mélenchon expressed in media statements months before the elections.


The lecturer at the Angers Leticia University of Langlois suggests that the Socialist Party and its leader Rafael Glucksmann could play an important role in this aspect, in order to contain Mélenchon's rhetoric and establish a pro-Ukrainian coalition, while it will be difficult for the Proud France party to lead a government while putting French support for Ukraine in doubt.


Saving the Green Charter


The left's victory also saved the Green Charter from collapse, with National Rally leader Jordan Bardella, one of the far-right candidates for prime minister following the first-round results, seen as the biggest threat to the pact because of his anti-environmental stances and his call on the French government to abandon the European agreement in this area.


On the contrary, the Left Alliance has declared its support for climate neutrality plans, which are included in the European climate law until 2050, thus maintaining Brussels' efforts to unify European policies in this area, and keeping France on the front line.


Neil Makarov, director of the European think tank Strategic Horizons, explains that the French elections were a wake-up call for European leaders to take action against declining industrialization, underinvestment, and ballooning energy bills due to costly dependence on gas, oil and coal imports.


"The election results are good news for France's commitment to climate action in their country, provided that parliament can establish a strong coalition," the French Institute for Sustainable Development and Relations said.


In the assessment of Institute Chancellor Lola Vallejo, President Macron can continue to play an influential role in international, climate and financial affairs, as he has often done, but his position after the elections is unclear.


Paris-Berlin Hub


Despite the relief in Berlin after the setback of the far right in the second round of the French elections, anxiety and suspicion hovers in the chancellery and the Bundestag, again due to party leader Mélenchon and his positions on the conflict in the Middle East and the Jewish state, and on the German partner in particular.


Mélenchon's repeated criticism of Israel's belligerent behavior against civilians in the Gaza Strip, and his pledge to recognize the state of Palestine if he leads a new government, are confusing positions for Germany, a historic supporter of the Jewish state.


The German political analyst specializing in Middle East affairs Kirsten Kneipp, in his interview with Al Jazeera Net, that the commitment of the historical Germany towards Israel is more than just a political goal, but the security of Tel Aviv and its existence are the reasons for the existence of the state in Germany, and together they represent the essence of German interests, according to his assessment.


If the leader of the proud France party, the biggest winner among the left-wing factions that make up the New Popular Front, could pose a direct threat to relations between the EU's two largest states and the bloc's main engine.


In a statement to the German newspaper Tagesspiel, Social Democrat MP Michael Roth and chairman of the Bundestag foreign affairs committee, "Mélenchon is not much different from Le Pen, being anti-German and anti-European."


On the other hand, Germany fears that Macron's pension reforms will slide into the unknown, as he is not accepted by the Left Alliance, which has pledged to take adverse social measures.


This raises concerns about increased government spending and ballooning France's budget deficit, contrary to European standards, and experts in Berlin are calling for caution against the specter of another European sovereign debt crisis that could have a direct impact on Germany's role in the eurozone.


More importantly, Germany's bet on Macron is now dwindling little by little, not only because of his shrinking political margin of maneuver after the election results, but also with a strong possibility of the far-right rising again in the French presidential election in 2027, after the French president completes two terms at the Elysee Palace.


This increases uncertainty in Berlin about the future of German-French relations and the future of France itself within the European Union.


Social Contract Management


In all cases, the future of France cannot be separated from its past, and it is the first cradle of the contractual relationship between citizens and the authority in the contemporary history of governance, in addition to launching the human rights system recognized today throughout the world.


The writer and researcher in political sociology Al-Munther Baldiafi, in his interview with Al Jazeera Net, that the results of the French elections, which led to the victory of the left as ideas and moral current strengthened doubts today towards parties, ideology and political systems in Europe, as they no longer guarantee stability due to the absence of majorities, and the inability of alliances as is the case France today.


This could create, according to Diafi's analysis, a situation that affects development, as seen when the euro fell immediately after signs emerged about a hung parliament in Paris.


In his analysis, the researcher offers a number of perceptions commenting on the symbolic implications of the left's victory in France, the first of which is "that it is necessary to rethink the mechanisms of managing the social contract, with an absolute commitment to upholding human values, and a commitment to struggle until they prevail, and the road to savagery is blocked."


This explains – according to the researcher – the high participation rate in the second round of the France elections, as the goal in his perception "was not to win the left, but to overthrow the danger of the extremism of the rising right in Europe, which has become a threat to the values of coexistence."


He says guest in the summary of his comment to Al Jazeera Net "the prominent lesson in the elections France, in my estimation, is the need to understand the ongoing transformations in the womb of French and European society in general, which is the product of the rise of the "extreme right", and the return to the discourse of nationalism and identity and the rejection of the other immigrant, this right, which failed today in France but may succeed tomorrow. "

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