Afrasianet - Ghassan Melhem - What is happening recently and now in this geographical territory and this political universe? What are its dimensions, extents and limits? And what might happen later and later?
Radical developments, changes and transformations, both structural and functional, have become numerous, if not many, as a result of dramatic events, emergency or new, in the region and the world.
As well as global and regional arrangements, balances and equations. Understanding the complex, complex and complex precursors, data and circumstances after highlighting them, with the aim of understanding international circumstances, situations and conditions, has become very difficult, and exceeds the ability to perceive and comprehend the individual and collective consciousness. What is happening recently and now in this geographical region and this political universe? What are its dimensions, ranges and limits? And what might happen later and later?
The Transition Period in the United States of America and the Current Phase
The current stage – the transition period between the term of the current US President Joe Biden, at the head of the current Democratic administration, whose term is coming to an end, and the term of the next US President Donald Trump, at the head of the next Republican administration, whose mandate is about to begin – seems to be the most delicate and dangerous political and time moment, at the global and regional levels, between the Eurasia region, which is witnessing the Russian war . Ukraine, and the Middle East region, which is witnessing many accelerating political and security events, from the Israeli war on Gaza, then the Israeli war on Lebanon, to the fall of the political system in Damascus, and the Israeli aggression against Syria, as we monitor many dangerous transformations within the throes of the new regional order and new regional arrangements.
The political deal between America and Russia in Ukraine and Eurasia
There is a possibility – at a minimum – of the completion of the political deal and, consequently, a political settlement between America and Russia in Ukraine and Eurasia, perhaps in the short and not long term.
This is what US President-elect Donald Trump may do with Russian President Vladimir Putin. However, current US President Joe Biden seems to be pushing things towards a lot of escalation and more complexity, during this brief or short period of time remaining in the presidential term of the current US administration.
Will the Russian-Ukrainian war end with a US-Russian decision to stop the indirect military confrontation between Moscow and Washington, and end the war that has led and is leading to attrition for Russians, Ukrainians and Europeans?
Dedicating yourself to competing and competing in artificial intelligence
In parallel with the expected trend or orientation of the Americans towards a political settlement with the Russians, and the mitigation of military escalation, after the departure of the current US administration, and then the advent of the subsequent US administration, Washington seems to intend to devote itself to the challenges of strategic competition and competition with Beijing, under the new US President Donald Trump, and at the head of the new US administration, as well as potential or supposed threats
- by the Chinese to the Americans - to American national security first, as well as to American interests second, geopolitical And geostrategic and geoeconomic, considering that China is the real and serious competitor to America, whether it is in the first term, or in the second term, of President Donald Trump, especially in the field of artificial intelligence technology.
The dialectical relationship between Washington and Tehran and the future of the region
Since the victory of the Islamic Revolution, the dialectical relationship between the United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran has remained thorny, unstable and unstable in its graph and throughout the modern and contemporary history of the relationship between the two states and governments.
It is tense many times and in many political and historical stations and events. It is likely to remain so with the return of Republican and far-right President Donald Trump to power in Washington, regardless of the presence of moderate reformists, not hardline conservatives, in power and government in Tehran. There are still outstanding files, issues and interests between the two countries, such as the Iranian nuclear program and the Iranian missile program, Iranian funds, capital and accounts with Western, American and European banks, And Iran's influence and role in the region, especially after America's strong return to Israel's side.
America and Israel from Palestine and Lebanon to Syria
At a time when there has been a lot of talk and talk lately, in the backstage, corridors, councils, channels, platforms and platforms, about the tendency and direction of Donald Trump, in his second version, unlike his first version, towards calming and reducing tension and escalating tension in politics and security, and focusing on employment and investment in money, cash, economy, trade, digital technology and artificial intelligence, Joe Biden is baptizing, in the last days or weeks, the remainder of his presidential term, as his weak administration, which suffers from political weakness, almost breathes its breath The latter is to go far and to the end in the escalation in the manner of pouring oil on the fire in both Eastern Europe and Western Asia, vis-à-vis Russia, Iran and other adversaries and enemies.
What do you want with the reality, reality and frankness of the deep state in the United States of America, whether it is with the end of the term and era of the current President Joe Biden, or with the beginning of the term and era of the next President Donald Trump? Do you want calm and compromise or do you want escalation, war and violence? Do these provocative actions and these escalatory steps fall into the category of booby-trapping on the road to bombing, before receiving and handing over on the threshold of the inauguration, with the intention of complicating, making it difficult and incapacitating the tasks of the new president and the tasks of the new administration?
Or do interest groups and pressure groups in the deep state in the United States of America, such as energy cartels, weapons, military and military manufacturing complexes, electronic or digital technology, want this and more?
Israel, with American coverage, has persisted and extravagant in the use and use of excessive force against Gaza in an unjustified, unreasonable and unacceptable manner. Israel, also with American coverage, has moved from its aggression on Gaza to its open war on Lebanon. Israel – also with American coverage – is fighting its treacherous war against Syria.
America is not only covering up Israel's aggression and war in Gaza, Lebanon and Syria, but is funding and arming them in a blatant and blatant manner. Between the terms of Joe Biden and Donald Trump, the region records record-breaking levels, numbers and rates of wars, crimes of destruction, displacement and sabotage: they are scenes of aggression, terrorism and criminality in the context of a scene of complete and comprehensive abuse. What's next?