The Zionist aggression against Lebanon and the prospects for escalation

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Afrasianet - Ibrahim Alloush - The United States will not allow Israel to be defeated, and it supports the elimination of resistance to Gaza or Lebanon. But the axis of resistance, in turn, will not allow the resistance in Gaza or Lebanon to be crushed.

The US administration is moving between two limits in its support for the Zionist entity during its campaign on Gaza, and now Lebanon, the first of which is the principled and unwavering American support for Israel's existence and security, and thus its military and technical superiority over everyone in its

surroundings, enemy or friend, while recalling that "deterring Iran and its proxies" is the first mission of the US Central Command (CENTCOM), as stated on its official website.

This was recently manifested in the increase in US military build-up between the eastern Mediterranean and the Gulf of Oman against the backdrop of the explosion of the situation in the northern front of the Zionist entity and the possibility of its further deterioration, which prompted the Pentagon to throw more of its assets into the region, until the US crowds reached 50,000 weeks ago, according to the "Military Times" on 18/9/2024, and the Associated Press on 20/9/2024, with the presence of two US aircraft carriers in the region.

It was pointed out in a previous article that the number of US forces in the region, without its allies, if we add what is supposed to include each military formation, land, sea and air, according to American sources, is 52,000. That's for those who insisted on adopting the official U.S. figure of 40,000, up from 34,000 before Oct. 7.

In any case, the above-mentioned U.S. sources say that the U.S. military buildup is ready in case the conflict expands, albeit reduced by a few thousand now, with one of the two U.S. aircraft carriers leaving the region, to head to the Asia-Pacific region (because the China-Russia aren't exclusively subject to the conflict calendar in our region).

According to these sources, the aircraft carrier "Abraham Lincoln" and three of its destroyers are now located in the Gulf of Oman, and there are two destroyers and a submarine carrying guided missiles in the Red Sea, and three destroyers, in addition

to two landing ships and the amphibious assault ship USS Wasp close to the shores of the eastern Mediterranean.

It is noteworthy that the USS Wasp ("Wasp" means wasp) carries on board the twenty-sixth Marine Expeditionary Unit, consisting of 2,400 personnel, and has land, parachute and air components that sometimes operate away from water, as in Afghanistan in 2001, and in Erbil and Mosul in Iraq in 2003, but also on the Libyan coast in 2011. It is necessary to alert the resistance to this danger facing the shores of Lebanon and Gaza, not to mention the two landing ships, in order to take into account its potential activities. If things come to direct American interventions of the type of "war on terror", even if this is not done within the framework of an all-out war.

In addition, the transfer of 6 F-18 aircraft from the aircraft carrier "Lincoln" to a base in the region, which the previous sources refrained from locating, and the dispatch of an additional squadron estimated at 12 advanced "F-22" aircraft, calculated on the fifth generation of weapons, to our region, bringing the number of fighter aircraft squadrons stationed in US land bases in the Arab territories in southwest Asia to 4 squadrons, in addition to the aircraft, helicopters and drones carried by American ships in Arab waters.

A presence in our region is not a necessary condition for air strikes on targets in our region. In February, two U.S. B-1 bombers flew off from Dice in Texas to bomb 85 locations in Syria and Iraq under the pretext of responding to the killing of three U.S. soldiers in an attack by the Iraqi resistance. But the flight of these bombers took 30 hours to fly, round trip. Thus, the placement of US aircraft squadrons in Arab lands and waters

brings them closer to their fixed and mobile targets, especially in the case of The outbreak of war.

U.S. Commitment to Enhancing the Air Superiority of the Zionist Entity

It is obvious that these US military build-ups came to enhance the Israeli air and missile superiority in the midst of the escalation of the conflict with Hezbollah and the resistance factions in Lebanon, Palestine, Syria, Iraq and Yemen, that is, it represents a strategic reserve from the perspective of the General Staff of the occupation forces, and that this represents, in itself, a political cover for the practice of aggression from the perspective of the Netanyahu government, if the Axis powers respond to the Zionist aggression in a way that destabilizes the balance of power or threatens the existence of the Zionist entity, the Pentagon is committed to defending "Israel," he has repeatedly stated, and more importantly, as his crowds testify.

Therefore, the battle is with one American-Zionist party, and American capabilities have their limits, of course, including the fear of Russia and China going too far in the international arenas if the United States commits to fighting a protracted war or more than one war in the Central Command (CENTCOM). The Americans have already been defeated in more than one war before, recently in Afghanistan and Iraq, and they will be defeated again, because the survival of their hegemony is not inevitable in the presence of rising regional and international powers, and because the peoples of the earth will not suffer under American hegemony forever.

Despite this, it is necessary to refer to the American crowds in the region, with a deterrent message so far, to take care of those who blame the axis of resistance for not engaging in a full-scale war immediately in response to the Zionist aggressions, as the American component in the balance of power must be taken into account, and it is not a mighty or unbreakable component, but as long as Russia and China are not ready to fight the battle in the Central Command region, the price we will pay will be greater, with The price of resistance is always lower than the price of surrender if things reach a direct confrontation with US forces in the region, as has happened repeatedly before.

In the context of consolidating the air superiority of the Zionist entity, whose air fleet is estimated at 280 fighter jets, in addition to military cargo aircraft, air refueling, early warning, reconnaissance and training, the Biden administration last month approved a deal to sell Israel an additional 50 F-15 jets worth $ 18.82 billion, which will begin to be delivered in the coming years, plus 33 A thousand tank shells, 50,000 mortar shells and military trucks, in exchange for a billion dollars and a half, will begin to be delivered from now, so that the Zionist entity can continue its aggression as usual.

According to The Times of Israel on 4/6/2024, the Israeli Ministry of War signed an agreement with the Pentagon at the beginning of last June to deliver to the Israeli Air Force 25 fifth-generation F-35 aircraft, known as stealth, in the coming years, which will be funded by US assistance to the Zionist entity.

The Zionist entity currently owns 39 stealth aircraft, which were delivered as part of a previous agreement on 50 aircraft, 11 of which remain in pipelines, bringing the size of the Zionist entity's

fleet of F-35 aircraft, after the implementation of the two contracts, to 75 aircraft.

Air and missile weapons do not resolve wars, of course, but they are capable of inflicting mass destruction and great massacres, as Gaza and Lebanon are witnessing, but that destruction and those massacres committed by the Zionist occupation would not have been possible without the American extensions in particular, and the West in general, of the Israeli war machine.

Statistics from the Stockholm Peace Research Institute show that 65.6% of arms imports to the Zionist entity between 2013 and 2023 came from the United States of America, 29.7% came from Germany, and 4.7% from Italy. Between 2019 and 2023, US arms imports to Israel rose to 69%.

The other limit of the Biden administration's support for the Zionist entity

According to a report in the American magazine "Foreign Policy" on 29/2/2024, the prolonged war in Gaza and Lebanon left the Zionist entity dependent on the United States militarily more than ever, as the military doctrine of the occupation forces has historically been based on waging short wars on the opponent's land, but "Israel's war in response to the Hamas attack on October 7 represented a major departure from the familiar doctrine of the Israeli army," according to the report.

It is as if the Zionist enemy had the option of quickly resolving the battle with Gaza and the supporting fronts, as the magazine's report suggests. It is added in the interpretation of the "departure of the occupation from its phase", or the development of its

military doctrine, if you will, that the detailed of the historic October 7, with its direct and sudden ground attack on the occupied territory in 1948, which cannot be allowed by Israel to be repeated, from Gaza, Lebanon or others, and the inability of the occupation to resolve the battle of Gaza or the fronts of its support, militarily or Politically or security-wise, let alone resolving them "quickly", imposing different strategic realities and necessities that require the continuation of the war from the Zionist point of view. This point is for the attention of those who refer the continuation of the war solely to personal or political considerations related to Netanyahu and his government.

Importantly, the prolongation of the war has left Israel more dependent on Pentagon resources than ever before. The Zionist entity has "an advanced military industrial base and an advanced military structure," according to the same Foreign Policy report, but the continuation of the war for months on end made the military establishment in the Zionist entity urgently need to replenish its stockpile of certain weapons more than others, and "when it comes to Hezbollah in particular, the Israeli army needs more precision-guided weapons, which will be crucial to neutralizing Hezbollah's launch sites and other sensitive sites."

The Biden administration tried to "sell" the suspension of sending 2,000-pound heavy bombs specifically to the youth sector of the pro-Gaza and pro-Palestinian Democratic Party, and to Arab and Muslim voters in the United States, on the eve of the US elections, as an American objection to the Israeli military campaign in Rafah, to the killing of civilians, and then to the launch of an all-out war on Lebanon. Netanyahu, on the other hand, has been hinting that the Biden administration is blocking arms shipments

to Israel, which actually serves Trump and the Republicans electorally.

However, according to an exclusive report by Reuters on 28/6/2024, citing private sources in the US administration, between October 7, 2023 and June, the United States shipped at least 14,000 MK-84 2,000-pound bombs, 6,500 500-pound bombs, 3,000 Hellfire missiles, an air-to-ground precision guided missile, 1,000 bunker bombs, 2,600 small-diameter air-dropped bombs, and other munitions.

The Reuters report, citing unnamed official sources, adds that these overall figures show that U.S. military support for its ally has seen little decline, despite international calls to limit arms supplies and the Biden administration's decision to "suspend" sending more 2,000-pound bombs to Israel.

The Biden administration's ban on 2,000-pound bombs remains in place, after sending at least 14,000 of them to Israel since October 7 alone, and continuing to send 500-pound bombs and all kinds of other shells and rockets. Kamala Harris is trying to use this electorally with advocates of stopping the war, while the Zionist lobby in Congress and the Senate is agitated that imposing any kind of restrictions on the export of very heavy bombs to " Israel" in the midst of a state of war represents a "great betrayal."

But we're dealing with a public relations issue here, concerning the Biden administration and Democratic candidates who don't want to lose voters if videos of major massacres and buildings completely collapsed by 2,000-pound bombs are circulating, and certainly don't want Israel to launch an all-out war on Lebanon on the eve of a pivotal election. The use of thousands of these bombs

in Lebanon, after Gaza, may drain Israel's stockpile of them, but their selective and rationed use does not drain it, and the Americans do not worry much.

This means that the objection of the Biden administration and the Democrats is to launch a comprehensive Israeli offensive campaign at this particular political stage, not to the goal of destroying the resistance in Gaza or Lebanon, or destroying the axis of resistance in general, but through methods that mix politics with war, and are characterized by the length of the soul and the need to save the faces of the printers and followers of the United States, and require at this particular electoral moment to stop the escalation that the Zionist entity is pushing towards a total war. Hence the call for an immediate ceasefire which was rejected by Netanyahu's government.

In 3 previous articles, it has already been published that various American and Western think tanks predicted an increased likelihood of all-out war at the end of this summer. In strategy, the Zionist entity cannot continue long as a "society" and "institutions" in the presence of forces capable of making a breakthrough greater than October 7 in its neighborhood. In the current policy, escalation and heating up the Zionist atmosphere represents a direct interest for Trump and an embarrassment for the Democrats, and therefore an interest for Netanyahu, who is betting on Trump's return to embark on an all-out war with the support of A complete American without any restrictions, and this must be taken into account as well.

In the end, the United States will not allow Israel to be defeated, and it supports the elimination of resistance to Gaza or Lebanon. But the axis of resistance, in turn, will not allow the resistance in

Gaza or Lebanon to be crushed. Therefore, we are in the midst of a zero-sum game that is more open to escalation than to calm, and if the big explosion was carried over for a while due to various considerations, the region is on track, as the general scene indicates.

Ibrahim Alloush - Author and university professor.

 

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