Afrasianet - Khalil Alanani - In less than two weeks, Israel has carried out three qualitative military operations. The first was the targeting of the port of Hodeidah in Yemen by F-16 and F-35 jets that flew nearly 1,900 kilometers from the Negev desert, blowing up an oil tank and power plant. The second operation is the assassination of the senior military commander of the Allah party, Fouad Shukr, in the southern suburbs of Beirut, which according to the standards of the Allah Party is one of the red lines in the conflict with the Zionist entity. The third and most dangerous operation was the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh, head of Hamas' political bureau, in the heart of the Iranian capital, Tehran..
The three Israeli operations aim to achieve three things::
- Trying to restore part of its prestige and image, which fell on the seventh of last October / October, when its military, security and intelligence services failed to predict and confront the attack of the Palestinian factions, especially Hamas, which constituted an unprecedented security and military failure in the history of the entity.
- Trying to rebuild the regional deterrence equation with opponents, especially Iran and its allies in the Arabic region, the most important of which is the Allah Party in Lebanon, which has changed significantly to the disadvantage of the entity since the eighth of last October / October.
- Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's quest to achieve an image of achievement to escape his abject failure in his war on the Gaza Strip.
In these three operations, the administration of US President Joe Biden was strongly present not only through its knowledge of these operations in advance, but also through military, intelligence, and logistical support. It is inconceivable that Israel or Netanyahu would dare to carry out these operations without prior American approval, not only for the purpose of coordination, but also to protect their back in the event of any reactions to what they have done, and in anticipation of any consequences that may result from carrying out these operations..
But the important question is: Why does Washington seem to be succumbing to Netanyahu's logic, which seems, seeking, to widen the circle of conflict in the region, which could lead to a wide regional war that the United States could pay the bill for and negatively affect its interests in the region? Several factors behind this American position:
1. The current US administration agrees with Israel in seeking to restore the deterrence equation that fell ten months ago, which negatively affected America's image as the main ally and supporter of the Zionist entity, and therefore there is a common interest with Tel Aviv in this regard..
2. Washington is trying to punish Iran and its allies in the region, in retaliation for thwarting the normalization plan that was in full swing before the seventh of last October / October, and President Biden was counting on it as one of his achievements in foreign policy, especially in light of his failure in all other files, such as: the Russian war file on Ukraine, and the file of the relationship with China, as well as to become part of his legacy after retiring from political work.
3. The administration's desire to launch a new regional order that seeks to integrate Israel in the region through an alliance with some Arabic countries in the face of Iran, in which Tel Aviv plays the role of spearhead, in light of Washington's efforts to reposition itself in the region in order to focus on the files of China and Russia.
4. The current administration is one of the weakest US administrations that have passed through the relationship with Tel Aviv during the last three decades, to the extent that Netanyahu blackmailed it in an unprecedented way to obtain military, diplomatic and political support. More importantly, the war comes in a hot election season, and in light of an unprecedented polarizing and divisive atmosphere in the American domestic arena, which Netanyahu cleverly exploits, not only to keep the war in Gaza, but also to expand it externally..
5. The president or the US Congress does not have the luxury of pressuring Israel currently, especially a few months before crucial elections, whether at the presidential or congressional level, in which the president is called a lame duck, meaning that neither can make fateful decisions regarding the relationship with the entity at this sensitive time..
In light of these considerations, it makes sense for the administration to get involved in the current war and its developments. But they are also the same calculations that would threaten U.S. interests in the region and beyond in the medium and long term..
On the one hand, the expansion of the war and its spiraling out of control means greater American involvement in the region, while trying to pay attention to other more serious and important conflicts such as the conflict with Russia and China..
On the other hand, there are possibilities that America's role will shift from simply defending Israel to engaging in an offensive war against Iran and its allies, which could lead to a virtual flare-up of the region and a high risk of loss of life, and thus a rise in the political cost internally in America..
On the other hand, the US administration's compliance with Netanyahu's logic weakens America's image in front of its other allies and shows it as a weak state that cannot impose its vision on these allies in light of Netanyahu's refusal and rejection of various demands for the need to reach an agreement to stop the war..
In other words, Washington, which seems subservient and largely submissive to Netanyahu's adventures, bears a key part of the region's flare-up and regional fireball, making it pay the price sooner or later..