Objectives Behind Biden's Road Map to End the War in Gaza

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Afrasianet - Sharhabil Al-Gharib - What is included in the map to end the war is the result of discussions between Israel, America and international parties that believe that this map is the most appropriate in terms of timing to end the war, and consolidates the American conviction that it is impossible to eliminate Hamas in the Israeli way.


US President Biden's announcement for the first time of a road map to stop the war on the Gaza Strip is a speech that carries with it many messages to many parties, and constitutes an explicit American declaration to move from the stage of supporting and managing the war to the stage of the need to actually end the war, and this is a shift in the American position.


The messages contained in Biden's speech included many parties, which can be narrowed down to three main destinations, the first targeting Benjamin Netanyahu, the second for Israeli society, and the third of importance to the whole world.


The first message, and the announcement of the plan to end the war, was intended to end Netanyahu's maneuvers and put him in a corner to ensure that the agreement is not tampered with, as was done in the previous agreement agreed to by Hamas.


The second message targeted the Israeli society rising up against Netanyahu, who is pressuring him to conclude an exchange deal, stating that this is the last chance to stop the war and the possibility of concluding a prisoner exchange deal with Hamas, while the third message targeted the world, stating that there is an American commitment this time to follow up on the agreement and ensure its implementation.


It is clear that what was included in the map to end the war is the result of lengthy discussions between Israel, America and other international parties that have come to believe that this map is the most appropriate in terms of timing to end the war on the Gaza Strip, and consolidates an American conviction that it is impossible to eliminate Hamas and the resistance factions according to the Israeli way with the fading of the slogan of overwhelming victory announced by Netanyahu, in light of the increasing American fears of increasing Israel's isolation more globally if this war continues without strategy or goals. As it is now, especially after Israel actually entered a war of attrition and a major failure to resolve the battle nearly a month after the invasion of the city of Rafah without any achievements.


It is noteworthy in the announcement that Biden's speech fully adopted the demands of the Palestinian resistance, and spoke clearly about a comprehensive cessation of the war, the withdrawal of the occupation forces from Gaza, the return of the displaced to its north, ending with a clear pledge to reconstruction, and this is a declaration in which the resistance is a victory and a defeat for Israel as the demands of the resistance since the first day of launching the war on Gaza, and in response to Hamas' demands to provide clear public guarantees from America towards any agreement.


Will the American initiative succeed in imposing a solution this time that lays the foundation for ending the war in Gaza?


In principle, Hamas' welcome of the initiative issued by President Biden and any initiatives that guarantee the cessation of aggression against the Palestinian people, and Israel's non-denial of it, gives an indication of the increased likelihood of the chances of success of efforts to stop the war this time, despite the internal Israeli challenges that this map faces, and perhaps remarks that Hamas may make on the proposal that ensure Israel's commitment and strict implementation of any agreement.


The timing of the announcement of the road map by President Biden that it is an Israeli proposal aimed primarily at saving Israel from the collapse that ravages it as a result of the faltering war in Gaza, and trying to save Israel before the disintegration of the war council in the coming days and its entry into unfortunate conflicts, and sensing the increased risks that increase Israel's isolation worldwide, and realizing the extent of the strategic damage that may be caused to American interests in the Middle East, and it is an early step to prevent any expansion The war on the northern front with Hezbollah escalated after the escalation of threats and threats about Netanyahu's efforts to expand the scope of the battle in the north.


It is true that the declaration carries a clear American vision to end the war, but part of its content carries two main goals, one related to the proximity of President Biden's election campaign, and the other is to employ the sentences issued against former US President Donald Trump as a political victory for him in the upcoming electoral battle.


 Based on the broad outlines of the road map announced by President Biden, the possibility of Israeli approval of the terms of the deal is possible, and is due to many reasons, most notably, the decisions of the International Court of Justice and their repercussions on Netanyahu, Yoav Galant and the commanders of his army, and the deadline granted by Benny Gantz to Netanyahu to withdraw from the War Council due to the lack of clarity of goals and strategic vision for the war, the high frequency of demonstrations calling for a prisoner exchange deal inside Israel, and the continuation of demonstrations in American universities and their impact on the presidential elections. Netanyahu's invasion of Rafah completely, which means, according to logic, that he lost hope of finding prisoners, and the fall of his last cards that he was waving to resolve the war with Hamas, and also means more failure to achieve goals other than killing and destruction, which is added to the defeat inflicted on Israel after the seventh of October.


President Biden needs more than ever in the initiative to end the war to improve his image in the upcoming presidential elections, and aims behind this map to push forward the normalization file between Israel and Saudi Arabia, and launch a political settlement that re-cools the situation in the region after eight hot months of confrontation with Hamas, Hezbollah and Ansar Allah in Yemen.


One of the important and remarkable remarks presented in the proposal was Netanyahu's retreat from some of his conditions that he adhered to throughout the war by announcing the elimination of Hamas, and the initiative only announced Hamas' inability to implement a new October 7, as well as the item of eliminating Hamas' capabilities instead of eliminating Hamas, and this is considered a retreat and descent from the tree on all sides.


This time, President Biden is pushing in the direction of the success of the initiative by mobilizing all his political and diplomatic tools and allies to save Israel on the one hand, and saving himself by explicitly declaring on the other hand by improving his image in the presidential elections, that it is time for elections and we do not want anything to disturb them.


 According to the latest opinion poll in Israel published by Yedioth Ahronoth, the requests of officers to retire from the army doubled during the war, which constituted an amazing and great shock to the leaders of  the Israeli occupation army, and thus the gloomy picture in Israel was established that the Gaza war is destructive to Israel first, which is not an ordinary event, but rather It has major repercussions in the region, and the only path that remains for Netanyahu is either to engage in a comprehensive deal or an inevitable end to it accompanied by the inevitable defeat of Israel and its defeated army in Gaza.

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