Afrasianet - Dr. Ibrahim Abraash - The new US administration will be serious in settling the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, leading to the creation of an independent Palestinian state on the 1967 borders, up to the specifications of international legitimacy and its resolutions, and in compliance with signed agreements and previous understandings, including that the state will be demilitarized and give security guarantees to Israel.
Trump has sent his emissaries, Jason Greenblatt and Kouchner to the region, to discuss the possibility of moving the settlement process between the Palestinians and the Israelis, either by reviving the John Allen Project, which he has put forward on a small scale in 2014, or any other Through a regional solution or so-called big deal.
Peace is a humanitarian demand and the Palestinian people want peace, but peace can only be achieved by the will of the parties to achieve it and under balanced balance of power or under international or regional support for the weak party - the Palestinians - and these are not available. But Washington says that it is interested in settlement and has projects to resolve and therefore there is no need for any outside party to intervene to replace Washington, so as not to say that The media has turned its back on the Palestinian people. It also aims to give Israel more time to complete settlement projects and to distract the Palestinian people so that it remains in a state of betting on a settlement.
On the other hand, the mere thought of new settlement projects is a recognition of the failure of all previous initiatives, including the Oslo Accords, the Road Map and the Arab Peace Initiative, and the erosion of the recognition by the majority of the world of the Palestinian state that a new initiative means a return to negotiations. Which will lead to the absurdity of new negotiations that, if accepted by the PLO, will only lead to more time for Israel to complete its settlement projects and to strengthen the state of Palestinian division.
Although President Trump says he wants a final settlement and not temporary solutions, the US administration knows that the conditions are not conducive to a settlement that ends the Palestinian-Israeli conflict because Israel, under the government, the overall situation and climate in Israel, will not withdraw from the West Bank, And it will not allow any Palestinian sovereignty over it, because it regards the West Bank, including Jerusalem, as part of the Land of Israel. Those who followed the comments and analyzes of the Israeli press and politicians a few days ago on the anniversary of the 1967 war will realize this vision among the Israelis and that the real reasons for the 1967 war were the occupation of these territories In their view of Israeli sovereignty, for doctrinal and security reasons.
Israel will not withdraw because there are no pressures or sources of threat and danger that force it to make concessions that it did not provide previously, no sources of danger and threat from the Palestinian political system of its powers and parties, neither from the Arab or regional environment nor at the international level. Trump makes him cautious in making any decision that angers Israel and the Jews.
This does not mean that Washington will manage the back of the conflict in the Middle East. This is not possible, especially after the media storm caused by his visit to the region and the talk of alliances, alliances, wars and deals with hundreds of billions of dollars and the possibility of expanding the chaos of the Arab Spring for Iran and the Gulf States and perhaps Turkey, First, it will separate the Palestinian-Israeli conflict from the Arab-Israeli conflict by circumventing the Arab peace initiative that deals with the conflict as an Arab-Israeli conflict that will only end after the Israeli withdrawal from the territories. And the establishment of the independent state of Palestine, where Trump will turn the equation and push for the normalization of the relationship between the Arabs and Israel before the settlement of the conflict between the Palestinians and the Israelis;
I seek more than normalization to reach things for an alliance between Israel and some Arab regimes to confront what they consider a common danger - Iran and the terror of extremist Islamist groups.
What will help Trump move the settlement process in the framework of futile negotiations is that the normalization between Israel and Arab countries, especially the Gulf began before its arrival and the conditions that the Arab countries are going through today make it more capable of normalization with Israel and managing the back of the Palestinian cause. In addition, Is too weak to meet the new arrangements in the region.
And because no compromise can be achieved on the basis of a just political settlement or meeting the minimum of Palestinian political rights. Any settlement under the current circumstances will be worse than the Oslo agreement. We wish the Palestinian leadership not to sign any political settlements, not within the framework of the regional solution, Another settlement project, because it will be a false witness to what is simulated for the region of schemes under the heading of countering terrorism and the face of the Iranian threat, and more serious than that will be a false witness on the liquidation of the Palestinian cause.
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