Afrasianet - Mahmoud Masharqa - Russian Tsar Vladimir Putin believes in the principle of preemptive strike, saying, "If battle is inevitable, you must be the initiator of the strike."
Russia's revised nuclear doctrine gives the Kremlin the green light to use lethal nuclear weapons in the event of aggression by his country or Belarus with conventional weapons that pose a serious strategic threat to their sovereignty.
The questions that arise in light of the language of the mounting missile muzzles with Ukraine, is Russia going into a full-scale war of destruction for the world that Europe is currently burning with the heat of talk about before using it?
Does Putin have enough motives to spark World War III?
What does Trump's victory in the US elections have to do with the escalation between Moscow and the West?!
Before answering that, we must understand the reasons for the escalation between the two sides, as Moscow accuses both Washington and London of providing Ukraine with long-range weapons to target the depth of its territory, and the Russian army announced that Ukraine fired US ballistic missiles at a Russian military facility in the Bryansk border region. In a televised address, Putin threatened to target the military facilities of the countries against which they use their weapons, implicitly including the United States, Britain and any other European country that enters the Kiev arms line.
The Russian initial response to the Bryansk strike came with a "Ujamach" attack through a non-nuclear hypersonic ballistic missile, and for the first time Moscow used the new "Orishnik" missiles, which have speeds of up to Mach 10 and cannot be intercepted by any Western anti-defenses, which constitutes a milestone in resolving the war militarily in the future.
Russia's current moves are like declaring a third world war, as it can now launch 400 nuclear missiles in minutes or even seconds within the so-called lethal hand system of nuclear deterrence, and it has its contexts and justifications with the so-called existential war.
Assessing the trajectories of escalation can be made within scenarios and assumptions, some of which are very dangerous and can be summarized as follows:
First: Russia escalated the war in Ukraine and went to destroy the capital Kiev and kill President Zelensky.
Second: Russia dragged NATO countries into a comprehensive military confrontation in light of an unprecedented global polarization.
Third: What is happening can be described as a preemptive Russian deterrence to America and the West before Trump takes office next January, and there are study centers that believe that the goal of fueling the war and expanding its area is to obtain better negotiating conditions for Moscow to end the war in Ukraine on the terms of the victor.
Fourth: The current Russian threat cannot be underestimated, although it comes at lost time in the United States, and the Biden administration does not have the keys to calm down or enter into a nuclear or World War III at the present time, and Russia cannot go far in its options.
Fifth: The nuclear option will undoubtedly be the last solution for Russia, but the ground is now prepared for the Russian Tsar to tame and hold accountable Europe and the West, which is divided over 1,000 days of war that dragged him into.