Afrasianet - Oraib Al, Rantawi - Instead of all eyes turning to see the "day after" of Gaza after the war, we should turn our eyes, or at least some of it, to the "day after" of Israel... "Israel" after the flood will not return to the way it was.
Today, the "Al-Aqsa Flood" enters its third year, and with it, the fiercest and most brutal wars of the era enter, while the repercussions of the two things together, and their interactions, are still roaming the horizons, causing seismic repercussions, which the "Richter" degrees can no longer accommodate... While the controversy over October 7 and the flood is still raging.
In the wake of the daily massacres that accompanied the war of cleansing and extermination, the voices of those who doubted the seriousness and feasibility of the flood were raised, and the voices of condemnation, denunciation, and accusation were raised. As the convoys of martyrs continued to rise and the number of missing and wounded and prisoners increased, the circles of support for the 7th of October would shrink, and the more towers and houses fell over the heads of their inhabitants, the feelings of sympathy would decline, and reservations of all kinds would take precedence over them. In the beginning, the 7th of October stole the attention of many Palestinians, their friends, their minds and their consciences, and the "soft voices" resorted to hiding behind the hesitant and stuttering words, but today they have been replaced by debauchery and debauchery, and we began to see naked and desolate faces, overflowing with their defeated and humiliated components from the pulpits and yellow screens.
In order not to confuse the rope with the nobility, and not to take everyone for granted, who have been inhabited by humiliation and defeat, and who have become accustomed to it, and have survived from it, let us distinguish between innocent voices that come out of the enormity of the price, and groan for the wounds of Gaza and its people, and estimate that the cost of the 7th of October is much higher than its return, these voices we respect and appreciate the abundance of feelings and nobility of their owners. Others have never been with the resistance of the Palestinian people, and have not hesitated to include their factions on the "terror lists", and see them as a threat rather than an opportunity, and do not mind allying and coordinating with the enemy in order to contain and besiege them, as a prelude to eradicating them. These people are not among those addressed in this article, you will not guide those you love, and their situation is closer to incurable, incurable, they are issued by the narrowest interests and selfish calculations, and most of them are "the author of their pockets" and "sensitive to their heads".
"Where have we" and "Where have we been"?
Let's go back to the sixth of October 2023, and what was going on in every room, and what was coming out of every lip: the Palestinian issue is over, it is at the bottom of the concerns of Arabs and Muslims, and on the latest global agenda... The train of normalization is sweeping, and it is almost reaching its Saudi station, which will open the doors of many Arab and Islamic stations for it, and will soon leave the square of hesitation and shame... The West Bank is silently swallowing and the gradual gnawing is in full swing, without condemnation, condemnation or objection, except for the duplicate statements issued by Arab capitals, devoid of any content, and do not arouse anyone's interest.
The Israeli narrative is almost "sweeping" for public opinion, Gaza is under the yoke of an unjust blockade, which has kept a generation of its sons and daughters behind the bars of the largest open prison on earth, the holy sites are subject to Judaization and desecration by herds of settlers and religious fascists, and the PA is in a state of erosion, leaving only the security coordination structures, while the organization is left with only a "ring" of the promised "ring" to sign the instruments of acquiescence. Arabs are "bored" with the "first central issue", even though they have already turned their backs on it, and for the majority of them, it is no longer "central" or "first", and for many years... All of this is still going on and continues to this day, but it resonates globally, and it is taking place under the lens of motivated international public opinion, and official (and most importantly popular) reactions are waving the swords of condemnation, boycotts, sanctions and recognition of the rights of the Palestinians and their deservedness to achieve them.
Diplomacy fell, and the option of negotiations fell, after it became clear to the far and wide that it was "not life" and always with the permission of the late Saeb Erekat, Oslo fell in terms of the decisions of the National Council and the Palestinians, again and again, which were based on the tightly sealed listing, and by the successive statements of Israeli leaders who boasted about destroying this path and doing everything possible to prevent the establishment of a Palestinian state, in terms of the "Nation-State Law" approved by the Knesset in 2018.
Arab diplomacy failed to even maintain the "formalities of negotiations," the last round of which was held in Amman, a decade before the flood, and Netanyahu came to them "hidden" by the restrictions of Obama-Kerry, always in order to thwart them and cut off their goals. European countries ridicule calls for the recognition of a Palestinian state, even if nominally, despite their always hypocritical talk of the "two-state solution"... The multipolar world has not yet emerged, Russia is busy in Ukraine, China is still yawning when it comes to its political role, and jumping like a kangaroo when it comes to its economic role... Washington has nothing to give the Palestinians except the deal of the century, as a ceiling rather than a minimum for their ambitions and aspirations.
In the internal Palestinian affairs, the avenues were firmly blocked in the face of real reconciliation and a serious and serious restoration of the path of unity and unity. Abbas cancels the 2021 elections against the Palestinian national consensus, and with silence, collusion and incitement from Arab and international capitals, ignoring all the developments that have taken place in the internal Palestinian scene and the emerging balances of power within it, denying the fact that he and the PA and its main party, Fatah, no longer represent the majority of the Palestinian people, and that there is a new player on the scene, armed with two legitimate laws, the first of which is popular, represented in the results of the 2006 elections and opinion polls on the eve of the 2021 elections, and the second, a militant struggle, which will be manifested in the "Sword of Jerusalem" and the arrest of the embers of action The Resistance, all the way to the Flood.
These blockages, and this "death" in the Palestinian scene, could not have gone stagnant forever, and the path of erosion in the situation of the Palestinians, in terms of cause, rights, land and sanctities, would not have changed its direction without a "gazelle heralding an earthquake", as was the case when the decision was made on October 7, and this is what was in the strategic mind of those who launched the flood. This is the starting point for talking about what happened on that most important day of the Palestinian people.
Should Hamas have predicted everything that would happen in advance?
What seemed to be a "big stone" that the Qassam Brigades will throw into the Middle East pool of reckoning on October 7 will become out of control and control, and I think it has exceeded the calculations of Hamas and its leadership, and even much more exceeded them, and the circles of reaction that the "October 7th Stone" will move will expand to the six continents of the world, starting with Palestine and Israel, and not ending with the farthest city or town in this world.
Who would have been able to see the flood collapse to the point of striking Iran in the heart of its nuclear and strategic program, leading to the fall of the Assad regime, and for Hezbollah to be subjected to painful strategic blows, and for Ansar Allah to emerge as a regional player, closing down Eilat and striking Tel Aviv, concluding agreements with Washington and canceling them?
Who would have thought that the flood would change the American strategy in the region by strengthening the presence instead of retreating, that Gaza, this small area, would be one of the gates to change the entire world order, that Europe would abandon the remnants of the mulberry leaves that cover its nakedness, and that the journey of inaction and humiliation would take some Arabs, regimes and rulers, to the shafts of reaction, and that the Palestinian Authority would stand firm in the face of its people, not its enemy, refusing to extend a helping hand to Gaza and its resistance, even with a kind word, and not with weapons and resistance, as many had hoped.
Who would have thought that the flood would bring an entire generation, in the West and the East, out into the squares and squares, and that the Palestinian flag would fly high in every street and alley in this world, and that "Israel" and its narrative would reach the age of evil, and be colored black, as an apartheid state, extermination and ethnic cleansing, glorified with the shame of a new fascism, which deserved to be brought before international justice... Who expected all of this to happen, and who has the "political imagination" to paint the picture as it turned out?
Hamas and the resistance's calculations did not reach this level, they have already made their calculations, and they failed to see the end, and this is true... But the question here is also correct: Who in this world would have expected the developments to end in the way they did?, because even the professionals of "retrospective wisdom", who are many in the Palestinian and Arab arenas, no longer dare to repeat their repeated phrase: "Didn't we tell you?" They said it at the beginning of the war, and when the Israeli monster began to get out of its mind, and began to tear the bowels of Gaza and its people... But after two years of outrageous Israeli criminality and legendary Palestinian steadfastness, and after all these cosmic seismic reversals, it seems that the people have become more humble, as what happened is beyond the capacity of the mind to imagine and imagine. Why is Hamas asked to do so, unless its opponents and arguers have the ability to predict and prepare for it?!
Could the prices have been reduced?
It is not morally to underestimate or underestimate the enormity of the price paid by the Palestinians in the context of the flood and to ward off aggression, because the life of every Palestinian child is important, and the life of every Palestinian fighter is important as well. But we will return to the obvious question, and can a colonized people get rid of their colony without a price, and often a heavy and heavy price?
Then, who said that the price paid by the Palestinians was inevitable? Wouldn't it have been possible to "rein" or "restrain" the enemy, which is heavily armed with weapons and hatred, if the PA had gone to the option of "coordinating" with the resistance, instead of "coordinating with the occupation... If the Arab regime had used the least political, economic, and legal cards at its disposal (and we do not say military, although they are due)... They did not do so, and they hesitated a lot before they started blaming Israel, its government and its army for the atrocities of the war of cleansing and extermination.
They preferred to blame Hamas, and some of them even sought to justify what Israel is doing as a deserved punishment for the movement and its people, because it dared to slap it, hit it with its icons, the invincible "army", and the intelligence that does not fail. Some of them, unfortunately, shared Israel's theory of "consciousness quenching" and was in line with the narrative of disciplining one or two generations of Palestinians, so that in the future no one would dare to think of doing something similar.
They fear the resistance, like Israel, and they fear the saying that it is possible to defeat it, and they fear the images of steadfastness and heroism emanating from Gaza, preferring to the images of famine, destruction and death in the streets, which may be a reminder to Arab public opinion of the "virtue" of adherence to homes and homes.
Behind the story of "reducing the price", some of them had the worst intentions... They wanted Hamas to raise a white flag, if not to save its fighters and save itself, out of kindness and compassion for the people of Gaza, its women and children.
They do not care about the people of Gaza or its resistance. They want history to write in its pages that the movement launched the most violent attack against the Israelis, resorting to the white flag... They want to send to new generations of Palestinians and their peoples: Have you not seen what happened to those who came before you? They do not want to get rid of the resistance, but to uproot it from the minds, souls and consciences, not for the present generation, but also for future generations.
In the war of narratives, the arena of confrontation was not limited to two Palestinian and Israeli narratives. Within the Palestinian narrative, there were two narratives, one that sang of wisdom and courage in doing nothing, and adhering to the seats of the spectators, and the other a narrative of resistance that inspires minds and inflames emotions.
Each of these narratives has found an echo in the Arab and Islamic worlds, and it is no secret to anyone that the narrative of resistance, steadfastness and steadfastness has had the upper hand, and that the international streets and world public opinion have left the square of submission to the Israeli narrative irrevocably.
Is Palestine in a better position today?
In the immediate immediate term, Palestine is bleeding in the West Bank and Jerusalem, especially in Gaza, and Israel has succeeded in breaking every restraint or control of its criminal-barbaric behavior... On the other hand, Israel, which at the height of its brutality wanted to change the image and maps of the Middle East, finds itself today, face to face, in the face of the fact that Gaza and its resistance have succeeded in changing the image of the world.
The circles of isolation that surrounded a movement on the lists of terrorism, from the brother and the enemy, are now wrapping around "Israel", which has lost and is losing its image before the world, as an oasis of democracy in the arid desert of the Middle East, and before the Jews of the world as a haven for security and prosperity.
"Israel", which is blowing up its dream of being the "greatest", is suffocating today with the "Palestinian morsel", as the people of Gaza are still on their land, and with a rare international consensus achieved through steadfastness, sacrifices and resistance, and the hands of the youth of the West Bank and Jerusalem are still resisting the Israeli awl, despite the fact that The mighty of the enemy and the failure of the brother.
Instead of all eyes turning to see the "next day" for Gaza after the war, we should divert our attention, or at least some of it, to the "day after" of Israel... "Israel" after the flood will not return to what it was, and it may be premature to draw the contours of its image once the cannons are silent, and I recommend reading what some of the remaining "Israeli" wise people have to say about the bleak future that awaits them and threatens their project.
In the medium and long term, what happened to Israel in this world will not return, especially with the young generation that followed the war today, and who are waiting to assume the reins of power, governance, decision-making and public opinion in their country tomorrow. The Palestinians' path to recognition as a people yearning for freedom, fighting for it, sacrificing for it, has become a vast one, spanning the world, without succumbing to the sword of blackmail with anti-Semitism or anti-Semitism.
Hamas may emerge as a faction, weaker militarily after the flood, and it may face more isolation encirclements, but as an idea and a project, it will not fade and will not disappear.
This is part of the price that the movement has paid, and will continue to pay... But it is an overstatement that it is an honorable price, no matter how great and great, and there is a difference between a movement that pays from its bag in the fields of fighting the enemy, and movements that have been paid out of its credit, reputation, influence, and leadership, as a result of taking refuge in the arms of "security coordination" and the continuation of the heavy "Oslo restrictions" ... How will this movement end in the internal Palestinian arena, and what balances will be crystallized in the coming days, this is not what matters, but what is more important is that the spirit of resistance will continue to burn and burn.
We conclude by saying that Oslo and identification with the PA may have succeeded in extinguishing it with Fatah, and beware that the negotiation process that began in Sharm el-Sheikh will succeed in extinguishing it with Hamas and the rest of the resistance factions.